Fort Lauderdale Real Estate Blog

December 4, 2008

Have We Reached the Bottom of the Real Estate Market?

View from Point of Americas | Fort Lauderdale CondoThe 2 most common questions I hear over and over about the Fort Lauderdale Real Estate market are “Is now the time to buy?” and “have we reached the bottom?”

Every day we read and hear about real estate statistics and figures, inventory levels, foreclosures, sales projections and all sorts of experts claiming we’ve hit the bottom, the bottom is near or those claiming the bottom isn’t even close.

So how can you be certain that we’ve hit the real estate bottom? Financial Expert Suze Orman, in my opinion, gave the most clear and concise answer.

During a recent broadcast of her show, Suze explained “the absolute way to know for sure is prices always dictate if we have reached the bottom or not.”

Suze further explains that in her opinion, it does not matter how many properties are for sale, whether inventory levels are decreasing  or any other statistics.  If prices are continuing to decline, we have not reached the bottom.  “It is only when prices start to go up that we’ve reached the bottom.  

“Since real estate is local, it is important to understand what is happening with home prices in the area you want to buy in.  When home prices start to increase and begin to sell for more than in previous months instead of staying flat or declining, then and only then, can you be certain that the bottom has been reached.  No other facts or figures will accurately reveal the bottom.  Prices speak the truth.”

Home prices in Fort Lauderdale have declined on average approximately 30% +/-.  In most areas, prices have adjusted back to 2004 levels.  Opportunities exist today to buy condos and homes for sale in Fort Lauderdale that were considered unaffordable just a few years ago. Unfortunately, obtaining loans to buy these properties is not easy and it appears the government may step in further to ease this burden.

As with any market, in my opinion, the time to buy is not after, but before the real estate bottom has been reached and before the market begins to rebound.  Unfortunately, timing any market is impossible and we won’t know the bottom has been reached until several months have passed and we are well into recovery.

I think it is safe to say that we are much closer to a bottom than we are to the top.  Many buyers feel the same way and are scooping up great bargains from short sales, foreclosures and sellers who just want to sell and have priced their home competitively.

As with any buying decision, before making any sizable purchase, you must look at your own situation.  Do your own homework.  Does it make good financial and emotional sense for you to buy now?  If you will be staying in the property for a long time, even if prices decline a bit further, you may still be well ahead in the long run.

If you are considering buying or selling a home in Fort Lauderdale or buying one of the many Fort Lauderdale condos for sale, contact me today at 954-850-2397.

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August 24, 2008

Florida Real Estate | Progress in Jacksonville Points to Likely Turnaround

South Florida May Soon Follow As Equilibrium Nears

Fort Lauderdale FloridaThe notion of selling a South Florida home in today’s market is daunting for some, if not disappointing for many. A second-quarter report for the Orlando, FL-based Florida Association of Realtors (FAR), however, shows progress being made in several cities throughout the Sunshine State, leaving many wondering when South Florida will follow suit.

In Jacksonville, the median prices of existing homes sold between April and June rose from $185,300 to $191,700, a 3.5 percent increase as compared to the first three months of the year, according to the report.

FAR president Chuck Bonillo calls the new findings positive, noting he expects Jacksonville to lead the Florida market out of its slump. “Realtors are reporting heightened interest from buyers, more business activity and an increase in pending sales,” he states. “Prices also appear to be reaching equilibrium in many areas ─ another encouraging sign that could boost the market’s momentum.”

South Florida, a vibrant mecca for first-time home buyers, foreclosure bargain hunters and real estate investors, reported existing home sales in Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach were down 8 and 3 percent, respectively, during the second quarter as compared to last year’s second-quarter figures.

But, even with still-sluggish prices, some experts, such as those with Moody’s Economy.com, predict prices reaching equilibrium this time next year. This could be a result of fewer adjustable-rate mortgages resetting along with a steadily improving job market. A drop in foreclosures could really help jumpstart a recovery, too.

The FAR report presents a positive outlook for the state in terms of existing home sales in the next several months as we see broader gains in the fourth quarter as first-time buyers take advantage of a tax credit made available through recently approved housing stimulus legislation. Some industry insiders predict a change in the market cycle as early as spring 2009.

Moreover, people who are able to buy right now are sitting pretty as interest rates continue to drop and the selection of homes available grows. Today’s buyers have their pick of brand-new homes, not-quite-built homes and older homes in various states of foreclosure.

Home sellers are realizing they can’t get top dollar for their 25-year-old home and they’re lowering their asking price. Cases like these can result in some great bargains on homes in high-end neighborhoods that are priced cheaper than some would expect.

Even if a buyer ends up paying a little too much, it’s worth it if he or she plans to live in the home for the next 15 to 20 years. Buyers should be more cautious about overpaying for a home if they don’t intend on staying in it for very long.

Often times, the media has a tendency to take on a the-sky-is-falling mentality to real estate, painting a picture of a grim market spiraling out of control. The fact of the matter is that it’s unlikely the South Florida real estate market will stay in an ongoing state of doom as long as the long-term outlook for the state and national economies stays positive.

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